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HK 3Q Real GDP Grows 1.8% YoY; Full-yr Growth Forecast Revised to 2.5%
The Hong Kong government released today (15th) the Third Quarter Economic Report 2024, together with the revised figures on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for 3Q24. The Government Ec...
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HK 3Q Real GDP Grows 1.8% YoY; Full-yr Growth Forecast Revised to 2.5%
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The Hong Kong government released today (15th) the Third Quarter Economic Report 2024, together with the revised figures on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for 3Q24. The Government Economist, Adolph Leung, gave an account of the economic performance in 3Q24 and the latest GDP and price forecasts for 2024.

The Hong Kong economy continued to expand, though at a moderated pace, in 3Q24 over a year earlier. Total exports of goods saw decelerated growth, while exports of services increased further. Overall investment expenditure rose further. However, private consumption expenditure continued to decline. Real GDP grew by 1.8% YoY in 3Q, having increased by 3.2% in the preceding quarter. For 1-3Q as a whole, real GDP grew by 2.6% over a year earlier. On a seasonally adjusted QoQ comparison, real GDP declined by 1.1% in 3Q.

Underlying consumer price inflation remained modest in overall terms in 3Q. The underlying Composite Consumer Price Index (Composite CPI) rose by 1.1% YoY, compared with 1.0% in the preceding quarter. Prices of meals out and takeaway food increased at a moderated pace over a year earlier. Increases in private housing rentals remained small. Prices of electricity continued to record visible decline. Price pressures on other major components were generally in check.

Taking into account the actual outturn in 1-3Q24 and the latest developments of the global and local situation, the real GDP growth forecast for 2024 as a whole is revised to 2.5%, from 2.5%-3.5% in the August round of review. The government will continue to closely monitor the situation.
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