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<Research>CLSA Upgrades Alibaba (BABA.US) to High Conviction Outperform, Hikes TP to US$165
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CLSA released a report saying that Alibaba (BABA.US)’s results for the third fiscal quarter ended December 2024 beat forecast, with revenue rising 7.6% YoY to RMB280.2 billion, exceeding the broker's expectations by 2%. The adjusted EBITA grew 3.8% YoY to RMB54.8 billion, topping the broker's expectation by 5.5%.

The broker forecast Alibaba's e-commerce customer management revenue (CMR) to maintain mid-to-high single-digit growth, and cloud computing to resume YoY growth of more than 20% in FY2026. With Alibaba's sale of Intime and Sun Art Retail, the group's profitability was envisioned to further improve.

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Therefore, Alibaba's adjusted earnings forecasts for FY2025, FY2026 and FY2027 were revised up by 3%, 8% and 9% to reflect expedited growth in cloud computing and reduced losses. At the same time, Alibaba's target price was revised up from US$125 to US$165, and the rating was lifted to High Conviction Outperform.
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