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<Research>Citi Raises HK 2026 Home Price Growth Forecast to 8%, Expects Developers to Regain Growth Momentum
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Citi Research published a research report saying that its previous forecast in October 2025 for a mere 3% increase in Hong Kong residential property prices in 2026 was overly conservative.

The actual increase for the entire 2025 was 4.7%, and home prices have already risen by 1% since the beginning of 2026. The broker now revised its 2026 Hong Kong home price forecast from a 3% increase to an 8% increase, and expected further acceleration into 2027 under a multi-year upcycle.

Related NewsJPM Keeps Constructive View on WHARF REIC; HK Retail Sales Trend in Nov Similar to Oct
After bottoming out in 2025, Citi Research was more optimistic on its expected further recovery of Hong Kong homebuilders in 2026, supported mainly by home price upcycle: improving profit margins from new home sales and upside to net asset value (NAV); and new home sales volume at 6-year high and growing, etc..

Citi Research recommended SHK PPT (00016.HK), SINO LAND (00083.HK) and HENDERSON LAND (00012.HK).
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