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<Research>UBS Trims Adj. NP Forecast for POP MART; TP Cut to HKD278
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POP MART (09992.HK) was foreseen to achieve revenue and net profit of RMB37.1 billion and RMB13 billion respectively for FY25, representing a YoY leap of 185% and 299%, UBS said in a research report. This implies that revenue and net profit for 2H25 would be RMB23 billion and RMB8 billion, which were 8% and 6% below the broker's expectations.

The broker noted that management had a cautious tone for 2026, expecting revenue growth of no less than 20% to address the high base in 2025. Owing to uncertainties in raw material and logistics costs, the company planned to provide more details on margins in May.

Related News M Stanley Expects Pop Mart (09992.HK) Overseas Market Growth to Slow This Year, Lowers TP to HKD278
UBS trimmed its adjusted net profit forecast for the group for 2026-28 by 7-13%, reflecting a decelerated overseas growth, partially offset by higher domestic forecast. The target price was reduced from HKD326 to HKD278, with a Buy rating.
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